Sunday, November 30, 2008

The Machiavellian Value Formula, Episode 2: The N.L.


The value formula perfected by this author was proved to be a sound and accurate management of total player value for a given team. So I figured, why not prove it for the National League as well? However, I would like to add in some rules. To be considered for Most Valuable, under my theory, one has to also check off the following:
1.) > 500 plate appearances
2.) Statistics accumulated in another League during the season will not count towards the 500 plate appearances, as the MVP is a league award, not a "Major League Most Valuable Player" award.
3.) A pitcher cannot qualify for the MVP unless they pitch 324 innings in a season; as that is the only way they would be more valuable than a position player. If a pitcher ever pitches 324 innings in a season, he will automatically be awarded the unanimous MVP regardless of statistical performance.
4.) A designated hitter can qualify. However, his VORP and Fielding statistics will be nil.
5.) Cost vs. Reward tie breaker. Should two player tie in points, if one player makes five million dollars or more less than the other player, he will be the MVP. Should they have salaries within five million dollars from one another, they tie for the award.
6.) To be considered an MVP candidate a player must score 20 or above on the MVP formula. Any player with less than 20 points will not be listed in the top finishers.
7.) TIER's. Whatever the top leading tier is (ie: three players finish in tier A), then it is acceptable for any of those players to be voted MVP and I will not critique the vote. However, if a player from Tier F wins the MVP when there are seven players in Tier B, then it is unacceptable.
For example...
UNANIMOUS - Obvious selection for MVP, should not be anyone else winning even in consideration.
TIER A - Assuming no unanimous, any player from this group would be an excellent and near perfect MVP choice.
TIER B - Any player from this group would be a "good" choice.
TIER C - Average choice, and there were clearly better candidates.
TIER D - Pretty bad choice, near failure.
TIER F - Horrendous MVP selection.
No tier - Pretty much a worthless choice, and all players in above Tiers should kidnap this man and beat him to near death until he agrees to burn his MVP trophy in protest.


Ok, so here goes for the National League. Their actual MVP ranking is in (here).
UNANIMOUS
1. Albert Pujols - 70 points **perfect score, utter domination** (1st)
TIER A
2. Lance Berkman - 57.5 points (5th)
3. Chipper Jones - 56 points (12th)
TIER B
4. Hanley Ramirez - 46.5 points (11th)
5. David Wright - 40.5 points (7th)
TIER C
6. Matt Holliday - 31.5 points (18th)
7. Ryan Ludwick - 31 points (16th)
TIER D
8. Chase Utley - 25 points (14th)
RESULT
Pujols was the obvious MVP. Perfect MVP choice.

-Ryan Howard finished second behind Pujols in MVP voting, yet his teammate Chase Utley was drastically more valuable, and he finished 14th in voting. Also, his teammate, Brad Lidge, finished eigth despite pitching in less than five percent of his team's games.
-Even though five Mets got MVP votes, only Wright was worthy. Carlos Delgado finished 9th (ahead of five of the top 8 on my list), yet his teammates Jose Reyes and Carlos Beltran, were more valuable than Delgado and they barely had any consideration.
-There were no Cubs even sniffing MVP consideration. However, they were first in the league, leading writers feeling compelled to vote for a Cub. That screwy logic led to three Cubs getting votes, including Aramis Ramirez (10th) who failed to even eclisple a .900 OPS for the year. In fact, he finished ahead of Chipper Jones, who had equal the hits in over 100 less at bats! That's right, Chipper could have gone 0 for 100 and had as many as hits as Aramis.
-Three assclowns voted for Jose Valverde for MVP, despite Jose nearly leading the league in blown saves.
-Two Ryan's finished in the top 3 in voting. Howard 2nd, and Ryan Braun 3rd. However, another Ryan, Ludwick that is, completely shattered Braun's statistics in every way. Ludwick even matched his power. They each had 37 home runs. Ludwick was 12 homers shy of Howard. Although Lud's OPS+ was an ungodly 26 points higher than Howard and 22 ahead of Braun.
-Hanley Ramirez played in 153 games for his team. Manny Ramirez played in 53. Their voting? Manny 4th, Hanley 11th. You might argue "The Dodgers made the playoffs" as an argument. However, the Marlins matched the Dodgers with 84 wins, and did so at a fraction of the cost.
-Also, Manny finished 4th. Why was he even in this league? Because his teammates voted him off. He was so un-MVP-esque in Boston that veteran teammates hungry for a World Series cast him off their island. They willingly said to hell with one of the greatest hitters of all time. Yet in 53 games he's an MVP? Not only that, had his team been in any other division they would have been selling at the deadline, not buying.

I hope you have taken away two facts from this article. One - baseball needs to seriously re-vamp their MVP process. And two - Albert Pujols is a man among boys.

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